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2004 HIV Drug Guide

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Doctors’ Roundtable

The following transcript is edited down from a teleconference hosted by HIVandHepatitis.com, as part of their HIV Treatment Live! monthly teleconferences. The topic is “Report from the 7th Conference on Retroviruses & Opportunistic Infections,” which was held during the first week of February. For a complete transcript, contact ronbaker@pacbell.net or write P.O. Box 14288, San Francisco, CA 94114. Request to be put on their mailing list for notices of future teleconferences. The clinicians and researchers speaking in this edited version are Michael S. Saag, University of Alabama at Birmingham; David Cooper, National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, University of New South Wales in Australia; and Stephen Becker, private practice in San Francisco.

Saag (moderator): Let’s jump right into antiretroviral therapy, especially on issues of when to start treatment. Steve, there was a poster by John Bartlett about a “meta-analysis.” Can you tell us about that?

Becker: Sure, although I think it’s important to say that the question of when to start therapy was not answered at this conference. It has been a pressing question and I think one that has in fact become more pressing as we’ve come to appreciate the complications of therapy. The poster was an analysis of approximately 10 randomized trials in treatment-naïve [no prior therapy] patients. These were trials performed in the United States and Europe and they included a number of drugs, including protease inhibitors (PIs), the non-nucleoside inhibitors [NNRTIs], and combinations that included three nucleoside [NRTI] drugs. Dr. Bartlett looked at the predictors of a successful virologic response—in other words, driving the HIV viral load to less than 50 copies and sustaining that for a 48-week period. Among the factors that he looked at was the baseline or entry CD4 T-cell count, the HIV viral load count, the type of drug that was used, and the number of pills taken in the regimen under study. The factor that emerged as the most predictive factor for treatment success was the number of pills. Study regimens that had the fewest number of pills were associated with the greatest success in terms of HIV viral load reduction [HIV in the blood].

Saag: David, could you summarize some of the data that was discussed about complications of treatment, especially metabolic complications?

Cooper: There was a lot of data presented at the meeting. In fact some people who were around the poster area on Sunday actually nicknamed the poster area “Side Effect Sunday”—that there were just so many posters there. I think the issues relate to how common are the metabolic disorders and lipodystrophy. I think that most cohorts are reporting on average about 50% of patients have some form of lipodystrophy. However, I think it’s also pretty clear from these cohorts that only about 10% are severely affected with them—and that’s probably a little bit encouraging. People of course are very disturbed about the body shape changes, the central fat accumulation and the fat loss in the arms and legs and face. But the big question is whether the other features that occur in these metabolic disturbances, such as the development of early diabetes which is related to insulin resistance and high cholesterol and high triglycerides are going to be problematic for you in the long term. There’s no simple answer to that, but there are some initiatives now to look at that quite rapidly by taking very large numbers of people—about 30,000—all over the globe and looking at them for the development of any heart disease or stroke. So that’s an important development.

Becker: David, could you comment on the difference between some of the body composition changes and normal aging changes? There was some discussion about the need to explore this as well.

Cooper: One of the difficulties is that the fat wasting is relatively easy to recognize and that’s probably not an aging phenomenon. But the fat accumulation is. We tend to get fatter—particularly we become apple or pear-shaped—as we get older depending on our fat distribution. It’s a little bit hard to distinguish the fat accumulation from the drugs from just this natural tendency. There are studies going on to look at that in the U.S.

I think there was some encouraging data about lipodystrophy syndrome and its occurrence rates from the HOPS (HIV Outpatient Study) data. They showed that the more risk factors you had for lipodystrophy, besides being on the drugs, the more likely you were to have it. And that really is an important issue—that we ought to be watching these other risk factors for heart disease and fat changes and diabetes very carefully.

Saag: What can we do about it if a patient has, for example, hyperlipidemia [high blood fats]? Switch the components of the regimen or intervene with specific anti-lipid agents?

Cooper: There was quite a bit of data to give us some indication on that. There were at least a dozen what are called “switch studies” where people were switching off protease inhibitors to non-nucleosides. Basically, sadly, they were pretty disappointing. The body shape changes, particularly the fat wasting, didn’t really improve. But the lipid levels—the cholesterol and triglycerides—did go down substantially. So that was a strategy. There was also one important abstract at the late breaker session which gives us some indication about the use of “statin” drugs. We’ve always been worried about these statin drugs because they can be quite toxic, particularly sometimes in the presence of other drugs—and this theoretically would include protease inhibitors. And there was some data from the ACTG, the AIDS Clinical Trials Group in the U.S., from their pharmacology groups to show that some of the statins at least were safe to use. Pravastatin (Pravachol) was probably the best, atorvastatin (Lipitor) was second, and it was rather hard to use simvastatin (Zocor)—you got very high levels with that.

Saag: One of the things we’re also noticing is that people are failing therapy, or therapy is failing them, let’s say, virologically [looking at viral load in the blood]. And some of the approaches to dealing with that included some new regimens, adding two PIs together.

There was a late breaker which showed that if you had a backbone of drugs that had either amprenavir (Agenerase) as a single PI or amprenavir with a number of other PIs including either nelfinavir (Viracept) or indinavir (Crixivan) together, that the dual PI combination actually had a better outcome. The concerning part about this is, while every regimen did include an NNRTI, as you might predict, the NNRTI naïve patients had a much better shot at getting the viral load under control. And probably the best that you could see in the NNRTI-experienced patients was about a 20% success rate at getting below 200 copies [vs. 45% for the naïve group].

There are other approaches though that may be coming into play, and one that’s been talked about a lot is withdrawing therapy from patients who have had virologic failure for a period of time. Steven Deeks is here and he presented some data on that.

Deeks: This whole concept, this so-called “treatment interruption strategy” (STI) or “drug holiday,” is based on the theory, the premise, the observation, that if you take away your medications and you no longer have drugs around that maintain the resistant mutations of the virus, that those resistant mutations will go away over time. We did a study that we reported today where we took 18 people who had been on therapy for a long time and had a detectable viral load for like 2 1/2 years now—so long-term virologic failure—people who were otherwise doing okay who stopped their drugs, and we observed that over a matter of anywhere from 6-12 weeks that their resistance disappeared completely. And we really had trouble detecting it during that period of time.

Now this was associated, as one might guess, with a significant drop in CD4 T-cell counts—T-cell counts dropped by about 100 cells. These people coming into the study had 200, 250 cells to begin with—so people in general lost about half of their T-cells as a consequence of stopping their medications. And this is because the medications they stopped were, to a certain degree, still working. So we looked at this issue, when you stop therapy, viral load went up by about 10-fold, T-cells dropped, and resistance sort of went away. Now, this raises questions as to whether this is a good thing—no resistance—or a bad thing—loss of T-cells—and there’s just no way really to address that with our study. If this is a strategy that will be pursued outside of a clinical trial, people need to be aware that there is a lot of risk.

Saag: I think some of the key points you made, Steve, just to kind of summarize, is one, that when the drugs were stopped it took a little while, 5 weeks or so, before the reversion to wild type [the original HIV] from resistance occurred, but when that did happen—which seemed to be pretty abrupt—that that’s when the viral loads tended to shoot up and the CD4 counts drop. And your point, I think, was that that may have been an issue of fitness of that resistant virus, and when you switch back to wild type, that was a more aggressive form of the virus.

Deeks: Yes. In this whole issue of virologic failure, one of the dominant themes was this whole relationship between the fitness of a virus and resistance. And I think our combined data, including the “stop therapy” study, is that despite years of virologic failure, despite having high levels of resistance to the drug that people are on, the virus does not replicate that well. And we believe that this is because the virus is not that fit. And in our studies, this is associated with continued persistent CD4, and presumably clinical, benefit. And I think that that story was confirmed by multiple different observations at this particular conference.

Saag: I think another one that you presented a couple of days ago also plays to that in that there seems to be some residual clinical benefit even if the viral load is now detectable, but certainly significantly below baseline. Could you briefly describe what that study was about?

Deeks: Just looking at 450 patients who we’ve been following for years now at San Francisco General Hospital, we looked carefully and tried to determine why some people’s T-cells remained elevated when the virus comes up. And we pretty much, I think, observed that again, in the state of long-term virologic failure, the virus can go to very high levels but rarely goes all the way back to baseline. And that for reasons that are unclear, just having a small reduction in the viral load is associated with a significant increase, and preservation of that increase, of the CD4 T-cells. And I think that has implications. We all know this, that there’s a significant delay between virologic failure and what happens to the immune system.

Saag: Exactly. And I think it’s consistent with some meta-analyses that have been done in the past, looking at clinical trials that had clinical endpoints from the old days. And that, if anything, if you could achieve a 0.5 log decrease from baseline and sustain that, that was associated with clinical benefit. And if you lost that, then you were more likely to see progression to a clinical endpoint [such as disease or death]. And while your study didn’t exactly define a precise cut—it seemed like it was more of a continuum—I think it’s safe to say if you’re 0.5 log below baseline and don’t have a whole lot of options to switch to, taking it all together, you might be better off to ride that horse a little while longer.

Deeks: I think, Michael, that’s the key thing. If you run out of options, if you no longer have the ability to get that virus down to undetectable, or if you only have one class drug left and you don’t want to use it up now (like the non-nukes), then I would take these observations and say, “Yes, let’s keep the virus as far below baseline as we can and ride it for as long as we can.” I think that’s a reasonable strategy.

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